I spent some time this weekend with the latest numbers from Sunday, and applying knowledge of how many votes go to candidates as gleaned from the preliminary RCV count that came out Friday, determined that Cohen would still be ahead of Kelly at the end, but by a razor thin margin of 50.1% to 49.9%, and separated by only 22 votes in my projected tally. In my calculations, Tran now takes 3rd, Sweet 4th, Moss 5th. My modified RCV-D10.xls
Again, my calculations are guestimates. As new tallies come in, things will likely change again, but Kelly and Cohen are pulling away from the pack at this point. If it ends up close enough, look for Kelly to ask for and get a recount, too.
FYI, the next preliminary RCV results run will occur on Tuesday, Nov 9, and the final tally has to be certified by Nov 30.
