Upcoming Events:


Community Meetings:

Saturday, November 6, 2010

Feeling Wonky

If you're really feeling wonky and want to dive into the election results further, try downloading the Excel spreadsheet to get a sense of where votes are going as candidates are eliminated.

http://www.sfelections.org/results/20101102/d10.html

Some interesting things pop out at me from this:

First, I'm glad to see (as evidenced by the low number of exhausted ballots for these candidates) that many of the people who voted for Hampton, Donaldson, Morris, and the other 'community candidates' ignored the candidates' pleas to 'vote for me and only me'. Also interesting that Sweet and Cohen picked up most of these candidates' votes, indicating a sense that they were perceived to also be 'community candidates'.

Eric Smith's endorsement of Malia Cohen didn't seem to help get her many of his votes, as more of his votes went to Kelly than Cohen.

Nearly 80% of DeWitt Lacy's votes go to Malia Cohen, suggesting either a racial or perhaps youth bent to these votes. The progressiveness of Tony Kelly made him the second-highest beneficiary of Lacy's votes.

Almost half of Teresa Duque's votes get picked up by Marlene Tran, despite Duque bad-mouthing Tran for months. This could indicate a racially-based preference, one that should be strongly acknowledged by those running in future races. If Duque hadn't been in the race at all, Tran would have started out with far and away more votes than any other candidate.

Moss' votes go to Kelly 2:1 over Cohen and 2:1 over Sweet, an interesting commentary that people seemed to have voted 'Potrero Hill' over politics, as Moss is more closely aligned with both Sweet and Cohen than Kelly, by far.

Tran's votes also go 2:1 to Kelly over Cohen and 2:1 to Kelly over Sweet, suggesting that her endorsement of him as her #2 paid off.

In Round 19, Sweet's votes go to Cohen 3:1 over Kelly, which is what puts her over the top and makes her the leader in the race. But, with only 150 votes between the first and second place candidates, it would only take Kelly picking up 10 more votes than Cohen each round for him to pull it out, but that may actually be more difficult than one would think.

Keep watching!! There are still plenty of ballots to be counted (late absentee and provisional), so this could all change.